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The tariff election | Today in the Upper House Campaign
Upper House Elections 2025

The tariff election | Today in the Upper House Campaign

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Tobias Harris
Jul 11, 2025
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Observing Japan
Observing Japan
The tariff election | Today in the Upper House Campaign
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This is the latest update for paid subscribers on the state of the upper house campaign, which will continue through the vote on 20 July.

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Paid subscribers can access my forecast and viewer’s guide here, including information on how to access a conference call on the elections for paid subscribers, which will be held at 9am EDT on 14 July.·

A guide to the 2025 upper house elections

A guide to the 2025 upper house elections

Tobias Harris
·
Jul 7
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A pdf of the report can be purchased here.

If you are looking for timely, forward-looking analysis of the stories in Japans’s politics and policymaking that move markets, I have launched a new service through my business, Japan Foresight LLC. For more information about Japan Foresight’s services or for information on how to sign up for a trial or schedule a briefing, please visit our website or reach out to me.

I also have a new essay at Nikkei Asia discussing what is at stake for Japan in the upper house elections here.


The campaign trail

Prime Minister Ishiba campaigns in Iwate. Source: @shigeruishiba on X

Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru was in Iwate, Miyagi, and Yamagata, three competitive single-member districts. Koizumi Shinjirō was in Niigata, another competitive single-member district. Kobayashi Takayuki was in Hokkaido and Fukushima.

Komeitō’s Saitō Tetsuo campaigned in Saitama.

The Constitutional Democratic Party’s (CDP) Noda Yoshihiko spent his Friday in Gifu and Aichi. Secretary-General Ogawa Junya was in Kansai, stopping in Nara, Osaka, and Kyoto.

A crowd listens to DPFP leader Tamaki speak outside Shinjuku Station’s southeast exit in Tokyo. Source: @tamakiyuichiro on X

Democratic Party for the People (DPFP) leader Tamaki Yūichirō campaigned in Tokyo and Yamanashi.

Ishin no Kai co-leader Yoshimura Hirofumi campaigns in Shiga. Source: @hiroyoshimura on X

Ishin no Kai co-leader Yoshimura Hirofumi also spent Friday in Kansai, campaigning in Nara and Shiga. His-co leader Maehara Seiji again campaigned at home in Kyoto.

Sanseitō’s Kamiya Sōhei campaigned across Kyushu on Friday, with stops in Miyazaki, Oita, and Nagasaki.

Japanese Communist Party (JCP) leader Tamura Tomoko was in Niigata and Nagano.

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