Observing Japan

Observing Japan

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Observing Japan
Observing Japan
A guide to the 2025 upper house elections
Upper House Elections 2025

A guide to the 2025 upper house elections

What to watch for when Japan votes on 20 July

Tobias Harris's avatar
Tobias Harris
Jul 07, 2025
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Observing Japan
Observing Japan
A guide to the 2025 upper house elections
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I have been hard at work on my forecast for Japan’s upper house elections, which I have completed today. Paid subscribers will be able to access the full report from this post. Free subscribers can purchase the report here. While the report includes a forecast — based on analysis of district-level races, past election results, and other data — it is also intended as a compact guide for following the upper house elections, and includes a list of the races to watch, major policy questions, the political stakes, and other analysis. I also have a new essay at Nikkei Asia discussing what is at stake for Japan in the upper house elections here.

The map of my forecast for constituency races in the 2025 upper house elections

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