Ishiba's headwinds

Notes from the general election campaign

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I have published a comprehensive guide and forecast for the general election, available for paying subscribers here. The guide is also available for purchase here.

Looking ahead to Sunday, I will be following returns on social media (Twitter; Bluesky) and, as I did during the LDP leadership election, I will also be sharing updates and taking questions in the Substack chat.

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Campaign stops

On Friday, 25 August, Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru will be in Aomori and Akita and LDP election strategy chief Koizumi Shinjirō will be in Yamaguchi, Hyogo, and Osaka. (LDP schedules)

CDP leader Noda Yoshihiko will be in his home prefecture of Chiba, with an evening speech in Kanagawa-18; Edano Yukio will be in Oita; former party leader Izumi Kenta will be in Saitama, Gunma, Shiga, and his home prefecture of Kyoto. (CDP schedules)

The Democratic Party for the People’s Tamaki Yūichirō will be in Miyagi, Akita, and Yamagata (source). Ishin’s leaders will be in Hyogo and Osaka, where the party is fighting to defend its electoral strongholds (source).