Observing Japan

Observing Japan

Japan Daily Briefing

Frustrated Ishin looks for path forward | Japan Daily Briefing

Party leaders gripe about LDP as bill's chances fade

Tobias Harris's avatar
Tobias Harris
Dec 11, 2025
∙ Paid

Thank you for reading Observing Japan. This post is available to paid subscribers. This is a new feature for paid subscribers, Japan Daily Briefing. My goal will be to publish this briefing every weekday and once over the weekend.

Share

Refer a friend

Give a gift subscription

If you are looking for timely, forward-looking analysis of the stories in Japans’s politics and policymaking that move markets, I have launched a service through my business, Japan Foresight LLC. For more information about Japan Foresight’s services or for information on how to sign up for a trial or schedule a briefing, please visit our website or reach out to me.

From now through 15 December, I am offering a 25% discount on annual subscriptions to Observing Japan. Click below to take advantage of this limited-time offer.

25% off annual subscriptions


Ishin no Kai is looking for a way to pass electoral reform before the Diet session ends but appears to have recognized that Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae is unlikely to take extreme measures to push the bill through. More details are emerging about the Takaichi government’s plans for intelligence reform, with legislation likely in early 2026. Finally, the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) has begun a debate on revising its stance on national security and collective self-defense as it considers how it can win power.

Ishin looking frustrated as outlook for electoral reform dims

Ishin no Kai co-leader Fujita Fumitake speaks at a press conference on 10 December. Screenshot by author.

Ishin no Kai, recognizing that the LDP is reluctant to use one of the more blunt tools (extending the Diet session or dissolving the Diet) to secure the passage of electoral reform, is searching for other ways to break the impasse.

"Self-sacrificing reform"

"Self-sacrificing reform"

Tobias Harris
·
December 10, 2025
Read full story

On Wednesday, Ishin co-leader Fujita Fumitake suggested that the party could be talking with the Democratic Party for the People (DPFP) and Kōmeitō about campaign finance reform. The goal would be to reach a compromise on a political funds bill that would enable the political reform special committee to begin deliberations on the LDP-Ishin electoral reform bill. The DPFP-Kōmeitō is more moderate than Ishin’s former position – the party had wanted a complete ban on corporate donations – but is still more stringent in the restrictions it would impose than what the LDP wants.

However, with less than a week left in the Diet session and the LDP reluctant to extend it, Ishin may be running out of time even for this gambit to work, particularly since the bill’s outlook in the upper house is far from certain. As it stands, the special committee may not conclude its deliberations on fundraising reform before Monday, leaving virtually no time to consider the LDP-Ishin bill without extending the session.

In the meantime, while Fujita did not threaten to leave the partnership over this issue, he expressed dissatisfaction with some members of the LDP, who he said had been overheard saying that the “bill wouldn’t pass anyway.” Coming a day after Fujita’s predecessor Baba Nobuyuki warned of “treasonous elements” in the LDP, Fujita’s remarks strengthen the impression that the partnership may actually be between Takaichi and Ishin, rather than between the LDP and Ishin. Of course, Ishin may also have questions over Takaichi’s commitment to its priorities as well.

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Tobias Harris.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Tobias Harris · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture